Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 164.583282 191.558417 223.094908 263.078462 312.984805 373.984529 4.553860e+02
2025-06-01 127.059047 159.747646 202.198678 262.789771 349.520567 473.332951 6.717397e+02
2025-06-08 105.212168 138.930669 185.816139 258.357438 372.906356 556.942785 8.996745e+02
2025-06-15 94.625183 130.170932 182.548601 269.537351 419.812124 690.321994 1.278415e+03
2025-06-22 81.325734 114.907172 166.327252 255.940971 420.840960 743.492145 1.534865e+03
2025-06-29 73.346334 106.291780 158.627186 254.237925 441.701697 841.816276 1.962714e+03
2025-07-06 67.096820 99.425699 152.486219 253.651368 464.069135 952.465597 2.520013e+03
2025-07-13 64.591662 98.187248 155.449796 270.275988 526.864858 1189.070870 3.744854e+03
2025-07-20 62.928806 98.067801 160.232139 291.387846 607.146798 1521.881158 5.917539e+03
2025-07-27 59.101921 93.716373 156.579681 294.142108 644.063278 1752.235080 8.155822e+03
2025-08-03 56.307021 90.863081 155.317809 301.792832 696.764857 2076.752108 1.203139e+04
2025-08-10 52.901051 86.531083 150.575466 300.527897 724.391443 2332.664766 1.655821e+04
2025-08-17 49.955200 83.076923 147.787494 305.057069 777.208148 2776.618062 2.669479e+04
2025-08-24 46.772027 78.898869 143.072010 304.237262 815.082654 3214.312578 4.291137e+04
2025-08-31 43.593852 74.401068 137.073152 298.843866 835.937491 3601.821860 6.726069e+04
2025-09-07 42.180687 73.217654 138.063979 312.386277 933.362756 4637.928463 1.661404e+05
2025-09-14 38.817561 67.802694 128.965642 295.919290 906.952376 4773.837400 2.344297e+05
2025-09-21 36.747632 64.847854 125.118145 293.860345 940.223466 5473.763487 5.182788e+05
2025-09-28 34.957819 62.313082 121.937579 293.151403 980.107174 6355.601118 1.516763e+06
2025-10-05 34.515423 62.548045 125.294722 313.282218 1130.197859 8945.195170 5.863146e+07
2025-10-12 34.310269 63.261939 129.914490 338.955539 1332.137805 13489.121166 NaN
2025-10-19 32.999756 61.445314 127.992311 342.313610 1416.332156 16846.409575 NaN
2025-10-26 32.049709 60.344530 127.762926 351.651906 1546.741191 22609.649209 NaN